Every week for the rest of the college basketball season, Dave Tuley will resume his Tuley’s Take with an article on Tuesday on the big midweek games as we head toward the conference tournaments (his favorite time to find live underdogs in recent years) and into March Madness. He’ll give a projected point spread and pick for each.
Heading into last Wednesday, I was feeling pretty good about myself. My posted plays here on Insider were hitting at a 66.7 percent clip at 6-3 against the spread since starting this column two weeks ago. But Wednesday was pretty ugly. All three of my plays — TCU versus Oklahoma State, Texas versus Oklahoma and Pepperdine versus St. Mary’s — fell what looked like hopelessly behind early. Texas rallied to force overtime on Myck Kabongo’s off-balance basket at the buzzer and then pulled off the outright upset to help me salvage a 1-2 night.
That dropped my overall record to 7-5 ATS (58.3 percent) and it just goes to show that when you see outrageously high ATS winning percentages, they’re either aberrations or outright lies. All it takes is a bad losing night (or a couple of .500 performances) to drag down a winning percentage.
So, I’ll take my 7-5 mark and move forward, especially considering I’m lucky I didn’t take the collar at 0-3 last week.
But enough looking back. Here’s a breakdown of Tuesday’s biggest college basketball games from my Las Vegas point of view:
To continue reading this article you must be an Insider: Tuley: Betting Indiana-Ohio State
