Penn State vs. Ohio State: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction

Penn State comes in rested against an Ohio State foe that didn’t look great last week against Iowa. But the Buckeyes have enjoyed a knack for covering home spreads—regardless of how big—so 14.5 points (at midweek) is not discouraging their backers.

Point spread: Ohio State opened as 14.5-point home favorites; the total was 56.5 as of Wednesday. Line updates and the matchup report are provided via Odds Shark.

Computer Prediction: 41-17 Ohio State

Why the Nittany Lions can cover the spread

Penn State true freshman quarterback Christian Hackenberg might be well on his way to a Freshman of the Year award. He’s completed 132 of 226 passes for 1,672 yards, with 11 touchdowns and is a three-time Big Ten Freshman of the Week honoree.

He already has three 300-yard games.

Why the Buckeyes can cover the spread

This has become a team of streaks all of a sudden. The Buckeyes have earned three tight wins in a row, they’re a perfect 7-0 on the season, and they boast 19 consecutive victories—the longest streak in the nation. The fact is, close or not, the Buckeyes continue to win under coach Urban Meyer.

Now, to stay in the Bowl Championship Series race, big wins are needed, and they will look to build on a 13-game home win streak. They have been reliably covering the spread at home the past few seasons.

Smart Pick

Penn State hasn’t played since its four-overtime win over then-No. 18 Michigan back on Oct. 12. It’s…

Continue Reading: Penn State vs. Ohio State: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction