The Big Ten tiebreaker that could make Ohio State-Michigan the division title game anyway

No. 2 Ohio State lost at unranked Penn State, falling in the AP rankings to No. 6, which feels like the kind of brief tumble Alabama often makes around this point in a season before clawing back to the top. There’s a pretty apparent path to that, actually. Ohio State’s next four games are Northwestern and Nebraska at home and Maryland and Michigan State on the road. The Huskers are good, but the Buckeyes should be comfortably favored in all four. After that: Michigan. Right now, Michigan holds one-game Big Ten East leads over PSU and OSU, with a head-to-head over PSU as well. S&P+ projects Michigan to win 4.54 of its remaining games, Penn State 4.09, and Ohio State 3.89. A few scenarios: If Michigan wins out, Michigan wins. Easy. If Ohio State wins out and Penn State loses along the way, Michigan would be out, due to head-to-head, and PSU would be out, due to having two conference losses. Ohio State wins. If Penn State wins out and Michigan somehow loses twice, Penn State wins. If all three win out heading into Ohio State-Michigan, we’d have a three-way tie, since Penn State’s conference loss is to Michigan. PSU would be out,…

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