July 11, 2026

The next decade in Big Ten football will look familiar: Ohio State is going to dominate

Penn State? Once. Michigan? Still seeking its first trip to the league championship game, regardless of the divisional setup. The two are a combined 1-11 against Ohio State since the latest round of expansion. Trying to size up the decade to come goes well beyond current rosters and even current coaches (though both elements have some instructive value). It would be silly to expect much slippage from Ohio State, which has cranked out at least 10 victories in all but one season since 2005. But Michigan and, to a lesser degree, Penn State are fascinating to think about since they’ve been off their historical peaks in the early 21st century. Consider that Michigan won 96 games in the 1970s, another 90 in the ‘80s and then 93 in the 1990s. That has dipped to 81 (2000s) and 85 (2010s) over the past two decades, and those numbers look worse with…

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